Shocking huh?
Nintendo says they're looking for sales in the 4.5 to 5 million unit range for year one of the new 3D portable. That should be extremely doable considering they've got three quarters of 2011 left, post launch, in which to hit that goal.
The European theater alone will see 900,000 3DS' hit the retail shelves in the first three weeks of release. If it's adoption rate is going to be anything like the success that the original DS has enjoyed, that may not be enough.